Tuesday, June 17, 2008

不曾在媒体报道的油价比较


我看见这么一篇文章。什么都不说,贴上来,大家自己思考一下...


WHAT IS NEVER MENTIONED IN Mainstream Media like NST/TheStar/ Utusan/BH
are these facts....

Malaysian PerCapita Income USD 5000 VS Singaporean PerCapita Income USD 25000
马来西亚个人年收入指数5千美金 对比 新国个人年指数25千美金

Further The Star made a comparison of prices in Thailand , Singaporeand Indonesia. For Thailand it is quoted at RM3.90/liter, however arethey aware that in Thailand new cars are cheaper than Malaysia byRM10,000? They pay only one life time for their driving license? Norenewal fee after that? Also that goes for road tax as well? And doTheStar also aware that you can drive all the way from Hadtyai toBangkok on a six lane highway without paying any Tolls ??!! THESTAR
日前做出马来西亚燃油价格对比临近其他国家(如泰国、新国以及印尼)燃油价格。泰国每公升3.90马币,然而报章并没有载出:
1.
泰国的汽车售价平均比大马的汽车销售价便宜1万马币。
2.
泰国车主一辈子只需缴付一次驾照以及路税而不必更新。
3.
从合艾开往曼谷有一条完全没有收费站的6道大道。

Whereas here in Malaysia you have to pay yearly renewal for road tax,driving license and TOLLS, TOLLS, TOLLS!!!
反过来看大马,驾车人士必须更新驾照、路税,以及给不完的大道过路费!

For Singapore how can you quote RM 5.20? Please quote in SingaporeDollars because they are earning in Sing Dollars. You might as well say
Europeans are paying RM10/liter. RM5.20/liter = Sing $ 2.20/liter,still cheaper than Malaysia in view of fact that Singapore is not acrude oil exporter. Are you saying that you fill up petrol in Singaporeby paying Ringgit?
对新国的状况,报章如何可以报导新国的燃油价为5.20马币?要知道新国人民赚的是新币。如果说新币也可以这么诠释,那么就干脆欧洲人正在付出每公升10 马币的燃油好了。以赚新币兑新币来算,5.20马币 =2.2新币,那依然是比大马便宜。要知道,新国并非原油出产国,除非是在说着在新国用马币加油...

In economy, dollar to dollar must be compared as apple to apple. Notcomparing like durian in M'sia is much cheaper than durian in Japan!! Of
course-lah, Japan is not durian producer!!! Comparing Malaysian durianwith Thailand durian make more sense!!
在经济学论,一元对一元形同苹果对苹果,而不是拿马来西亚的榴莲跟日本的榴莲来相提并论。那是绝对的嘛,因为日本根本就不是榴莲生产国啊!要比较榴莲,该拿大马跟同样出产榴莲的泰国相比才对。

For Indonesia we might say is cheaper there at RM2.07/liter but comparethat to their level of income!
当然对于印尼则另当别论,虽然他们只售每公升2.07马币,但他们的收入却不是可以相提并论的。

Now, let us compare the price with OIL PRODUCING countries:
现在让我们来跟同样是石油出产国的国家比较一下:

>>> UAE RM1.19/litre
阿拉伯酋长国 1.19马币
>>> Eygpt RM1.03/litre
埃及 1.03马币
>>> Bahrain RM0.87/litre
巴瑞 0.87马币
>>> Qatar RM0.68/litre
伽达 0.68马币
>>> Kuwait RM0.67/litre
科威特 0.67马币
>>> Saudi Arabia RM0.38/litre
沙地阿拉伯 0.38马币
>>> IranRM0.35/litre
伊朗 0.35马币
>>> Nigeria RM0.32/litre
尼日利亚 0.32马币
>>> Turkmenistan RM0.25/litre
突门尼斯坦 0.26马币
>>> Venezuela RM0.16/litre
维尼瑞拉 0.16马币
>>> MALAYSIA RM2.70/litre
马来西亚 2.70马币


RM 2.70!!!


Individual perspective:
个人方面:

As of last month a Toyota Vios would 'cause a damage' of about RM89,000. In the international market, a Toyota Vios is about USD 19,000
USD 19,000 = RM 62,700 (using the indicative rates of USD 1 = RM 3.30)That makes Malaysian Vios owners pay an extra RM 26,300.
上个月,丰田VIOS在大马售价8.9万。在国际市场,一台丰田VIOS是美金1.9万,相当等于马币6.27万(以1美元兑3.3马币计算),换句话说,马来西亚的VIOS车主足足多付了马币2.63万。

This RM 26,300 should be cost of operations, profit and tax because thetransportation costs have been factored in to the USD 19,000.
RM 26,300/ RM625 petrol rebate per year translates to a Vios being usedfor 42.08 years.I do understand that the RM 625 is a rebate given bythe government, but it also means that one has to use the Vios for42.08 years just to make back the amount paid in taxes for the usage ofa foreign car. Would anyone use any kind of car for that long? Now withthese numbers in front of us, does the subsidy sound like a subsidy ordoes it sound like a penalty? This just seems to be a heavy incrementin our daily cost of living as we are not only charged with high cartaxes but also with a drastic increase in fuel price.
高达2.63万马币的差别,应该顺理成章的归类为处理、税务以及盈利之上了,因为所有的费用都已计算在美金1.9万里面了啊!如果说这2.63万马币用来 除以2cc一下的每年625马币燃油回扣,一个VIOS车主可以用上42.08年。没错,625马币是政府提供的燃油津贴,然而这也意味着一个人必须应 42.08年的VIOS才能把购买外国车的税务拿回来。谁会开一台车开这么多年???这么看来,这所谓的津贴,究竟是津贴还是惩罚?这完全是给我们生活 负担加重不知道多少的措施,因为我们不只要负担贵车,还要负担贵油!

With all the numbers listed out, I urge all Malaysians to join me inanalyzing the situation further.
看着这些数字,我恳请大马的子民跟我一起分析其他的事情。

Car taxation is government profit, fuel sales is Petronas' (GLC) profitwhich also translates into government profit. The government mayridicule us Malaysians by saying look at the world market and fuelprice world wide. Please, we are Malaysians, we fought of the British,had a
international port in the early centuries (Malacca), home to a raciallymixed nation and WE ARE NOT STUPID!!!
汽车销售税务是国家的收入,可燃油的销售是国油(国营机构)的收入,同时也一样是国家的收入。政府可以荒谬地说看看周遭及看看世界的原油价。拜托,我们是马来西亚人,征服过英国人,很早世纪便拥有国际港口,拥有多元种族人民的家园,我们一点都不笨好不好!

We know the international rates are above the USD 130/barrel. Weunderstand the fact that the fuel prices are increasing worldwide andwe also know that major scientist are still contradicting on why thisphenomenon is happening. Some blame Bush and his plunders around theworld and some blame climate change and there are others which saypetroleum 'wells' are getting scarce.
我们知道现在国际原油价格已经高于每桶美金130,我们明白全球燃油价格都在上升,我们也知道主要的科学家都在寻找这个状况的原因。一些人说是布什以及和他遍布世界的一伙,一些人说是气候转变,而其他人说是油田快要干竭。

Again we go back to numbers to be more straight forward.
再一次,让我们回到数字(那会更直接)。

1 barrel = 159 liters x RM2.70/liter = RM 429 or USD 134
On 1 hand, weare paying the full cost of 1 barrel of crude oil with RM2.70 per literbut on the other hand the crude oil only produces 46% of fuel. 1桶原油 =159公升;每公升2.7马币,那一桶则视429马币或者134美金。我们正付出相当于1桶原油的价格,然而原油只产生46%的燃油。

Msia sells crude oil per barrel at USD130 buys back Fuel per barrel atUSD134. And not forgetting, every barrel of fuel is produced with 2
barrels of crude oil.
马来西亚以美金130卖出1桶原油然后以美金134买进一桶燃油 (在这里别忘了1桶燃油是以2桶原油所提炼成的)。

>>> if 1 barrel crude oil = produce 46% fuel (or half of crude oil), therefore
>>> 2 barrel crude oil = approximately 1 barrel fuel
假设1桶原油可炼出46%的燃油(或者原油的一半),那么2桶原油便等于1桶燃油。

In other words, each time we sell 2 barrels of crude oil, equivalentlywe will buy back 1 barrel of fuel. Financially, Malaysia sell 2 barrelcrude oil @ USD 130/barrel = USD 260 = RM 858 then, Malaysia will buyback fuel @ USD 134/barrel = RM 442/barrel Thus, Malaysia earn netextra USD 126 = RM 416 for each 2 barrel of crude sold/exported vsimported 1 barrel of fuel !!!
>>> (USD 260-134 = USD 126 = RM416)
换句话说,每一次卖掉2桶原油便买回一桶燃油。以金钱来计算的话,马来西亚以每桶美金130售出2桶原油(美金260;或者相当于马币858)便以每桶美金134的价格买回燃油。那么,每一个这种的交易,大马都会赚取美金126,或者马币416

So where this extra USD 126/barrel income is channeled to by Malaysian Govt????????
如此说来,那超出来的126美金跑哪去了?

Another analysis:另外一个分析

>>> 1 barrel crude oil = 159 liters. 1
桶原油 = 159公升
>>> 46-47% of a barrel of crude oil = fuel that we use in our vehicles. 46-47%
的原油 = 我们所用的燃油
>>> 46% of 159 = 73.14 liters. 159
公升的46% = 73.14公升
>>> @ RM 2.70/liter x 73.14 liter = RM197.48 of fuel per barrel of crude oil.
乘以每公升马币2.70,每一桶原油有价值马币197.48的燃油

This is only 46% of the barrel, mind you. Using RM 3.30 = USD 1, we getthat a barrel of crude oil produces USD 59.84 worth of petrol fuel (46%
of 1 barrel). USD 59.84 of USD 130/barrel turns out to be 46% of abarrel as well.
这只是那一桶原油中的46%。假设以1美金兑3.3马币,一桶原油(197.48除以3.3)有价值59.84美金的燃油,而这个价格(对比每桶130美金)也相当于46%

Another 54% = bitumen, kerosene, and natural gases and so many more.And this makes a balance of USD 70.16 that has not been accounted for.
剩余的54%包括了天然气、煤油、沥青及其他。而这些都是那美金70.16之中还未计算的部份。

So this is where I got curious. Where is the subsidy if we are paying46% of the price of a barrel of crude oil when the production ofpetrol/barrel of crude oil is still only 46%?
这便是我觉得好奇的地方:如果说我们正在付出了那原油46%的价钱,那所谓的津贴跑哪去了?

In actual fact, we still pay for this as they are charged in the formsof fuel surcharge by airlines and road taxes for the building of road(because they use the tar/bitumen) and many more excuse charging us butlet us just leave all that out of our calculations.
事实上,我们还在付与其他的费用,如航空公司的燃油费、路税(因为他们得用沥青来铺路),以及其他很多很多的理由(恕不在这里计算)。

As far as I know, only the politicians who live in Putrajaya and comefor their Parliament meetings in Kuala Lumpur (approximately 60+ km)are the ones to gain as they claim their fuel and toll charges from themoney of the RAKYAT's TAX.
据我所知,只有那些住在布城并得远赴在首都国会参加会议的政治人物(超过60公里的距离)才有收获(因为他们从人民税中索取汽油以及大道收费)。

It is so disappointing to see this happen time and time again to theMalaysian public, where they are deceived by the propaganda held by the
politicians and the controls they have over the press.
这是一件非常遗憾的事情,因为周而复始地看见政府不断欺骗人民并对媒体施以控制力。

Which stupid idiot economist equates rebates for rich or poor with thecc of the vehicles? An average office clerk may own a second hand 1300cc
proton Iswara costing $7,000 (rebate = $625) while the Datuk's childrencan own a fleet of 10 new cars of BMW, Audi and Volvo all less than
2000cc costing $2 millions and get a total rebate of $625 x 10 =$6,250! Wow what kind of economists we are keeping inMalaysia....wonder which phD certificate that they bought from...
哪个白痴经济学家会以汽车的cc来评定、计算回扣率?一个普通的职员也许开着一台1300cc的二手国产花蝴蝶(价值马币7千;回扣马币625);而一个 拿督的儿子可以拥有10台宝马、奥地和富豪,全都是2000cc以下但价值2百万,可以享有625x10=6250的回扣!! 这里究竟养着什么样的经济学家?

Misleading concept of Subsidy:
关于津贴的误导性

The word 'subsidy' has been brandished by the BN government as if ithas so generously helped the rakyat and in doing so incurred losses.This simple example will help to explain the fallacy:
津贴这个字眼已被国阵政府大事应用到让人感觉它的慷慨协助人民以及如何蚀食国库。这可以用下列的例子做一个很好的画面:

>>> Example:
例子
Ahmad is a fisherman. He sells a fish to you at $10 which is below themarket value of $15. Let's assume that he caught the fish from theabundance of the sea at little or no cost. Ahmad claims that since themarket value of the fish is $15 and he sold you the fish for $10, he had
subsidised you $5 and therefore made a loss of $5.
阿末是一位渔夫,他以低于市价的马币10令吉卖一条鱼给你。让我们来假设他以非常低/甚至于零成本从海洋(大自然)供应的鱼库捕获这条鱼,然后他说:市价卖15,我卖10,我还亏5块钱啊!

>>> Question : Did Ahmad actually make a profit of $10 or lossof $5 which he claimed is the subsidy?
请问:阿末究竟是赚了10块钱还是亏了他作为津贴的5块钱?

>>> Answer:
Ahmad makes a profit of $10 which is the difference of the sellingprice ($10) minus the cost price ($0 since the fish was caught from the
abundance of the sea). There is no subsidy as claimed by Ahmad.
答案是:阿末(当然是)赚了10块钱。当中根本没有津贴!

The BN government claims that it is a subsidy because the oil is keptand treated as somebody else's property (you know who). By right, theoil
belongs to all citizens of the country and the government is a trusteefor the citizens. So as in the above simple example, the BN government
cannot claim that it has subsidised the citizen!
国阵政府说这是津贴,那是因为那些油都被藏起来,而且被视作是某人的产业(你知道是谁)。照理来说,这些油是属于国民的,而政府不过是人民的委托人。如此说来,政府根本不能说这是在津贴人民!

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